Negotiations without preconditions... or post conditions.

The issue of Sen. Obama's proposed policy towards Iran has bugged me for a long time (I have diaried about it often), but his policy has just undergone another revision... so it deserves another diary.

From Sen. Obama's website:

Obama is the only major candidate who supports tough, direct presidential diplomacy with Iran without preconditions . Now is the time to pressure Iran directly to change their troubling behavior. Obama would offer the Iranian regime a choice. If Iran abandons its nuclear program and support for terrorism, we will offer incentives like membership in the World Trade Organization, economic investments, and a move toward normal diplomatic relations. If Iran continues its troubling behavior, we will step up our economic pressure and political isolation. Seeking this kind of comprehensive settlement with Iran is our best way to make progress.

What does it mean ?

In a nutshell, and in the same paragraph, Sen. Obama is promising to radically alter US policy towards Iran ("direct Presidential diplomacy with Iran without preconditions"), and then promising a continuation of current US policy towards Iran ("Now is the time to pressure Iran... offer a choice...If Iran does this, then we will ... If Iran does not do this, then we will....").  The current US policy is one of strategic containment, while holding low level discussions on tactical issues (such as Iraq).  Thus, current US policy is identical to the 2nd part of Sen. Obama's position.

During the Democratic primary, the emphasis has been on the "negotiations without preconditions aspect" For instance:  


"Would you be willing to meet separately, without precondition, during the first year of your administration, in Washington or anywhere else, with the leaders of Iran, Syria, Venezuela, Cuba and North Korea?....."

"I would," he answered.


And this


But to CBS News on October 15, 2007, Obama defined leaders in the conventional way:

   Harry Smith: "You said, `I will talk to so and so and Hugo Chavez and etc., etc.'"

   Obama: "Exactly, and without preconditions."

It seems like the emphasis during the Democratic primary (as illustrated by the two examples above) was to convey that a radical shift in official US policy was in the making.  But the official campaign document (the website) clearly states that the actual implementation of the "negotiations without preconditions at the direct Presidential level" would involve no real change in current US policy.

Therefore, some more convoluted explanations are necessary.  To wit, we have the following

There will be conditions, just not preconditions

and

""Well, first of all, he said he'd meet with the appropriate Iranian leaders. He hasn't named who that leader will be. It may, in fact be that by the middle of next of year, Ahmadinejad is long gone."

and

"We will negotiate without conditions, but not without preparation"

I mean... can someone clarify all this ?

What is a condition that is not a pre-condition ?  Is it a post-condition ??

His campaign put out a statement further muddling the issue:

"Barack Obama has always said that he is willing to meet with appropriate Iranian leaders at the appropriate time after due preparation and advance work by US diplomats. That's what he said last summer, and that's what he's said throughout the campaign. Preparation is not a precondition it is absolutely necessary to the success of any diplomatic effort. You need to build an agenda and open lines of communication, just as we would do with any country, But Barack Obama believes we must be willing to lead, just like Kennedy did, and just like Reagan did. And that's what he will do as president."

So what would this preparation entail ?  

Would it involve low(er) level US diplomats providing a list of things to low(er) level Iranian diplomats, wherein this list includes all the things (such as... ceasing Uranium enrichment) that Iran must work on prior to any Presidential summmit ?

or

Would it involve low(er) level US diplomats meeting with low(er) level Iranian diplomats to discuss the modalities of the meeting (we will meet in Cairo, Pres. Obama will be on the right, Pres. Ahmadinejad will be on the left... the TV angles and the natural lighting must favor Pres. Obama at all times..)

Because... you know...the former would be a continuation of current US policy, and the latter would involve a radical shift !!



Display:


So you agree with McSame (none / 0)

Shocking!!!!


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Wed May 21, 2008 at 07:54:01 PM EST

One of the reasons I don't want him for Pres (1.50 / 4)

he sounds like an idiot on national security....

how stupid not to have pre-conditions to talk with the head of a country that wants to nuke our allies......


by nikkid on Wed May 21, 2008 at 07:54:33 PM EST

Re: One of the reasons I don't want him for Pres (2.00 / 2)

Except Iran has NO nukes. Or hadn't you seen the last NIE?


"In the primary you should vote with your heart, but in the general, you should vote with your head" Hillary's husband
by venician on Wed May 21, 2008 at 07:57:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Go ahead, say you'll vote for McSame (none / 0)

go ahead say it.

I dare you.


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Wed May 21, 2008 at 07:57:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: One of the reasons I don't want him for Pres (none / 0)

If it weren't for Liebermann McCain wouldn't know where is at half the time, let alone foreign policy.  I believe it was a GOP plan to have Liebermann escort McCain all over the country/world because they fear what will come out of mouth and Liebermann is there to prep him and clean up his mistakes.


Obama supporter who is damn glad Hillary Clinton is a Democrat!!
by hootie4170 on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:19:54 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: One of the reasons I don't want him for Pres (2.00 / 1)

Im really glad that Kennedy waited for Kruschev to pull the missiles from Cuba before engaging in direct diplomacy with the U.S.S.R...

Or wait, Kennedy engaged in negotiations before the Soviets pulled their missiles and prevented nuclear war by doing so...


by WellstoneDem on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:38:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Wrong on the facts (2.00 / 1)

Kennedy, by meeting with Kruschev, actually set back relations with the USSR and brought us to the brink of war. Kennedy meet with Kruschev, then Kruschev built the Berlin wall and installed missiles in Cuba because he saw Kennedy as weak. The Bay of Pigs could have been averted completely had Kennedy not met with Kruschev.


by grlpatriot on Wed May 21, 2008 at 09:28:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Wrong on the facts (none / 0)

I take it that you didn't major in history.  Counterfactuals are meaningless.


by rfahey22 on Wed May 21, 2008 at 09:34:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... (none / 0)

And your reason for posting this is to what? How is this going to help either campaign in the G.E. ?


"In the primary you should vote with your heart, but in the general, you should vote with your head" Hillary's husband
by venician on Wed May 21, 2008 at 07:55:01 PM EST

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... (none / 0)

My reason for posting this is to ask a question that should be asked... indeed, an answer should be demanded from the presumptive nominee.

What, exactly, is his position on Iran.

And your reason for posting your comment is to what ?  To prevent people from asking questions ??


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 07:57:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... (none / 0)

So why don't you ask Obama. Last I knew he doesn't post here. So it seems to me like you're just trying to make him look bad.


"In the primary you should vote with your heart, but in the general, you should vote with your head" Hillary's husband
by venician on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:00:30 PM EST
[ Parent ]

He has people who post here... (none / 0)

and there... and everywhere !

This is how I am asking !!  

And lest you forget, the duty of the citizenry is to ask questions regardless of whether it makes the emperor look naked !!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:04:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: He has people who post here... (none / 0)

And you know for a fact that he has people posting here, and you know who they are, and you think that they'll read this diary and report back to Sen. Obama that he should address your question?????????????


"In the primary you should vote with your heart, but in the general, you should vote with your head" Hillary's husband
by venician on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:08:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Is that too much to ask for ? (2.00 / 1)

Wow, I was under the impression that he had built a people powered movement...from the ground up ... etc etc...


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:10:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... (none / 0)

obliterate! obliterate! obliterate!

you go girl!


by citizendave on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:01:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

So what do you think of McSame's position (none / 0)

My only reason for posting this is to ask a question that should be asked.

what, exactly, is your evaluation on McSame's Iran position?

I dare you to reply.

I dare you.


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:03:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I do not know any McSame, sorry (none / 0)

If you want an answer, then give the man his due, and use his proper name !!

I have always referred to Sen. Obama as Sen. Obama !!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:05:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

BWHWHWHWAHAHHAHAHAHA!!! (none / 0)

I thought so.

Next.


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:12:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Change your diaper (none / 0)

It's time for a change, Al.

A diaper change.


Until recently I was selling drugs, and now I'm selling Obama T-shirts.
by switching sides on Thu May 22, 2008 at 08:48:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... (none / 0)

It`s called fip-flop.


Wisdom Is The Reward For Listening Over A Lifetime
by gunner on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:45:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... (none / 0)

"without preconditions" is a catch phrase, not a real thing. No meeting between world leaders - EVER - has occurred without exhaustive diplomatic work between the two sides.

Now, there is a difference between having a series of negotiations and having a major, public set of preconditions. There are always conditions, but in some situations one side will insist on a major concession from the other side before progressing a diplomatic agenda. Much like Israel often does with the PA (and vice versa), and like we do with Cuba. Insisting on these major concessions is more often a tactic to avoid diplomacy rather than engage in it. Bush, in theory, would talk to any world leader, assuming they first do exactly what he tells them to. This is not realistic (as is evident in Bush's foreign policy) and tends to further inflame aggressions (the opposite intended purpose of true diplomacy).

What Obama is proposing is not new or strange or dangerous. He is simply calling for a return to the sane and effective diplomacy of past administrations. The kind where world leaders and diplomatic corps work and negotiate to resolve problems, instead of just flinging inflammatory rhetoric back and forth until one day... the trigger slips.


www.thingsyoungerthanmccain.com
by LandStander on Wed May 21, 2008 at 10:08:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... (2.00 / 1)

If what I wrote isn't clear, let me emphasize...

Major, public preconditions are a ploy used by hawks like Bush and Friends to avoid diplomatic engagement. It is a tactic meant to increase tensions - the opposite desired outcome of actual diplomacy.

It really amazes me how many people around this site are so eager and excited to cling to phony, right-wing talking points. Are you really buying into the BS? You make it sound as if you LIKE the foreign policy of George W Bush.


www.thingsyoungerthanmccain.com
by LandStander on Wed May 21, 2008 at 10:13:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... (none / 0)

Sen. Obama's website says that Iran must do this this and this (give up enrichment, terrorism, support for Hamas etc.) and in exchange, the US will do this this and this (support Iran's entry into the global community).

Sounds like a precondition to me... what if Iran does not want to give up Hamas...or believes that it has a God given right to enrich Uranium ?


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 11:05:25 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... (none / 0)

That is not a precondition to engagement. There will be many, many preconditions to normalizations of relations (as there should be).
Under the Bush doctrine, we have lost ground in the battle to win the minds of the Iranian people and the Iranian government. Under Obama's proposal, Iran would be given an opportunity to show itself willing to cooperate. Nation states can be surprisingly persuadable when you engage them in ways that can promote their national interest. It is NOT in Iran's interest to be an international pariah, but under the Bush doctrine they know they have no choice - so they continue to antagonize us.

I'm sorry, but the simple fact is that Obama is offering the most sane and progressive foreign policy this country has seen in a generation. I know we are all used to the Bush years and the nonstop saber rattling from the right (and moderate-left), but there IS another way. The rest of the world looks at our 'with us or against us' mentality with bewilderment and fear. We need to change that and NOW. The alternative is only more war.


www.thingsyoungerthanmccain.com
by LandStander on Thu May 22, 2008 at 12:02:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... (none / 0)

I am sorry, but Sen. Obama has offered no foreign policy proposal so far wrt to Iran.

Offering to talk to them without preconditions (even if he means it.. and I really doubt if he does) is meaningless unless he can articulate what his vision is for the core Iranian demands (enrichment technology, Palestinian right of  return, etc.), the core Iranian demands (no enrichment technology, no support for Hamas etc.), and how he intends to reconcile those two.

You say that under Obama's proposal, Iran would be given a chance to show itself willing to cooperate.  Well.. they have been given a chance under Bush.  Bush, too, has stated that if Iran gives up enrichement, and Hamas, and terrorism, then he would welcome them into the international community (in fact, I suspect Sen. Obama's description is identical to one given by Condi Rice).

Nothing new there, sorry !!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Thu May 22, 2008 at 12:44:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... (none / 0)

Obushma...he is simply Bush with less brains, if thats even possible.


Until recently I was selling drugs, and now I'm selling Obama T-shirts.
by switching sides on Thu May 22, 2008 at 08:50:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (1.00 / 1)

I have concluded he doesn't know what the hell he is talking about .

I have stopped trying to figure it out.

I don't see how anyone running to be president advocating meeting with the holocaust denier as president face to face without preconditions would be elected.

Its just a dumb position , republican or democrat.

I have predicted for sometime now that he would find a way to back away from the position just like the flag pin.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Wed May 21, 2008 at 07:56:39 PM EST

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

Ahmadinejad is not THE leader of Iran. And how were your predictions on who would win the Nom.?


"In the primary you should vote with your heart, but in the general, you should vote with your head" Hillary's husband
by venician on Wed May 21, 2008 at 07:58:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

you're right - Hillary lost to an inferior speaker (2.00 / 1)

you only make Hillary look bad when you say this.

HA!


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:00:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

And what will happen if he does? Tell me what the horrible consequence will be of him sitting down and shaking hands with the leader of Iran and talking.


by animated on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:03:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

Its an irresponsible way to conduct foreign policy and I expect him to continue trying to parse his way all around it .

That would be an albatross for him in the general election if he is the nominee .

I doubt too many folks would agree with that position.

I am not interested in a jimmy carter like reckless foreign policy


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:08:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

So keeping your friends close, but your enemies closer, is a horrible way to conduct foreign policy?  No wonder you favor Sen. Clinton.


"In the primary you should vote with your heart, but in the general, you should vote with your head" Hillary's husband
by venician on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:10:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

This is not an action movie you know.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:12:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Whose candidate threatened (none / 0)

75 million human beings with obliteration again?


should we go outside? / should we break some bread? / are you'nterested?
by Firewall on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:14:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Whose candidate threatened (none / 0)

You mean when Obushma threatened to invade Pakistan?

Is that what you mean?


Until recently I was selling drugs, and now I'm selling Obama T-shirts.
by switching sides on Thu May 22, 2008 at 08:51:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

Then why is hillary acting that way?


"In the primary you should vote with your heart, but in the general, you should vote with your head" Hillary's husband
by venician on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:18:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

Bull.  Irresponsible WHY?

You see, when pressed on the specifics of exactly what the problem with negotiation would be, your side cannot seem to give any real answers.


by Lawyerish on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:11:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

This is something I have talked about on this blog ever since the debate last year .

I am not arguing against negotiations as you put it , I do not think the president should be meeting without preconditions with the terrorist regime in Iran.

Obama apparently recognizes the foolishness in his position , thats why all these Bill Clinton like parsing is going on.

Too bad is on tape.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:16:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

Ya didn't answer the question.  Why is it irresponsible for the president to meet these people?

I don't like the 'terrorist regime' bullsh*t, either.  I'm not a fan of the repressive government of Iran, but it doesn't help things to label them so and certainly won't lead to anything but war.  Is that what you eventually want to see?


by Lawyerish on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:36:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

"""Why is it irresponsible for the president to meet these people?"""

If you don't know the answer to that then you should not be on a political website.

Maybe a Britney spears fansite is more in line with your talents.


Until recently I was selling drugs, and now I'm selling Obama T-shirts.
by switching sides on Thu May 22, 2008 at 08:53:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

Right, but why? Put the politics of it aside for a moment. What would be the horrible consequence of a simple face to face meeting with Ahmadinejad or some other Iranian leader? Will he pull out a gun and shoot Obama in the face? I mean, seriously, what are we afraid of? IMO, the worst thing that could happen is that nothing concrete gets resolved immediately but that in the long term it increases the goodwill between our countries.


by animated on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:13:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (2.00 / 1)

Let us assume that negotiating with Iran without preconditions is a brilliant idea.

If that is the case, why is then that Sen. Obama's campaign is striving so hard to qualify his promise to negotiate without preconditions (preparations, Ahmadinejad is not the leader, never said that etc. etc.)

I am just genuinely curious as to what his position is ... .I am quite clear on what my position would have been (which I am not stating, and which is quite worthless since I have no say), but I am confused as to what Sen. Obama's position is !!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:16:28 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

So ask Sen. Obama.


"In the primary you should vote with your heart, but in the general, you should vote with your head" Hillary's husband
by venician on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:19:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

I asked him, he told me to quit playing the Foxnews game.

I guess he told me.


Until recently I was selling drugs, and now I'm selling Obama T-shirts.
by switching sides on Thu May 22, 2008 at 08:54:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

Here's his position as I see it:

He's not going to jump on a plane and grovel at Ahmadinejad's feet the day he takes office. He'll initiate diplomatic contacts, lay the groundwork and build trust, and then meet with these leaders if they want to. But what he won't do is lay down a list of demands they must accede to BEFORE the negotiations begin.

Does that make sense?


by animated on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:21:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

That`s copying Hillary`s position. AGAIN.


Wisdom Is The Reward For Listening Over A Lifetime
by gunner on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:49:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

No it's not... (none / 0)

she never said she would be willing to meet with other leaders.  Moreover, she has not called for diplomatic efforts made toward Cuba or Venezuela.  She only wants to reach out to Iran and North Korea.

Get your facts straight, if you're going to slander people.


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Wed May 21, 2008 at 09:21:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

Isn't it obvious?  It's because there are people like you who are looking to give him a hard time about it!

And so they get on the defensive.  Same as Hillary has been from time to time and same as McCain; every political candidate.


by Lawyerish on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:38:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

You sound like you are trying to simplify this to fit an agenda.

The fact of world politics is that no meeting between world leaders has ever, EVER occurred without significant diplomatic work taking place beforehand. It is so normal - so obvious and implicit - that one does not need to parse words. To say he would meet leaders without preconditions is to say he is willing to talk with our enemies without erecting insurmountable barriers. This is the opposite of George Bush's foreign policy. Do you like George Bush's foreign policy?

The PM of Japan does not just hop on a plane one day and fly to meet Hu Jintao. It simply does not happen that way, has never happened that way, and will never happened that way. Not with Obama or any other American president.


www.thingsyoungerthanmccain.com
by LandStander on Wed May 21, 2008 at 10:19:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations (2.00 / 1)

carter is the only ex-prez who i am proud of.

you don't see george sr or bill bangin' nails or working for peaceful solutions in the middle east.

they're too busy raking in the big bucks to do anything meaningful.


by citizendave on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:15:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations (none / 0)

What the hell?  Obviously you have no idea what Bill Clinton has been up to since he left office.  Yes he has made a lot of money but he has also raised a lot of money for very worthy causes.  Not to mention he negotiated with American drug companies so that they would provide anti-viral drugs to AIDS patients in Africa, which has prolonged the lives of thousands of people.  


by JustJennifer on Wed May 21, 2008 at 09:45:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations (none / 0)

ok the wjc foundation is set up to to some good stuff.
my understanding is that the negotiations were with indian manufacturers of generic drugs, not with american drug companies. but hey, cheap drugs are cheap drugs.

i'm sure that bill will be able to focus all his attention on the foundation now that he will not be spending the next four years in the whitehouse.


by citizendave on Wed May 21, 2008 at 10:14:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

ROFLMAO! (none / 0)

In November 1999, at a function inaugurating a new American-funded health initiative in the West Bank, Suha launched into a tirade against Israel, making unsubstantiated claims that the Israeli government was responsible for cancer rates in Palestinian areas.

First Lady, Hillary Clinton was present at the ceremony and was sitting feet away from Arafat on the dais when the remarks were made. Immediately after her remarkss, Clinton hugged Suha and kissed her on the cheek.

You holdouts are amateurs

Next!


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:19:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

How old are you? (none / 0)

You know this does nothing to help your candidate or win over Hillary's supporter, right. Just so we have an understanding.


by grlpatriot on Wed May 21, 2008 at 09:19:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]

I know, I know (none / 0)

when someone insults Obama, I should let it go.


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Wed May 21, 2008 at 09:55:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (2.00 / 1)

You obviously don't know much about foreign policy if you believe that the grade school tactic of not acknowledging or talking to those you don't like is a solid strategy.

First, those leaders only become stronger internally since they are able to rally their people against the imperialist Americans (See Chavez, Castro, and Ahmadinejad)

And second, the United States never accomplishes its goals because negotiations never end up taking place.

Finally, direct presidential diplomacy has worked throughout American history.  Whether it was Kennedy negotiating with Kruschev, Nixon going to China, or Reagan talking to Gorbachev.

Here is a little reading for you:

http://www.state.gov/www/about_state/his tory/volume_vi/exchanges.html

http://nixon.archives.gov/virtuallibrary /tapeexcerpts/chinatapes.php

http://www.brookings.edu/articles/2004/0 801russia_talbott.aspx


by WellstoneDem on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:21:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: (none / 0)

i think expecting a step by step layout of state department affairs in an obama administration would be premature.

i do take some comfort that (unless we are dumb enough to elect mccain) the next POTUS will engage states that have been provoked  and threatened by our current administration.


by citizendave on Wed May 21, 2008 at 07:58:48 PM EST

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (2.00 / 2)

I think the most important take away is that he rejects the idea that Iran and other countries need to agree to all our most far-reaching demands BEFORE beginning negotiations, which was basically the Bush admin's line for a long time.

I agree with him 100% on this, and as for the details of whether or not to personally sit down with leaders or not, I couldn't care less really. What's the worst that could happen if he does?


by animated on Wed May 21, 2008 at 07:59:24 PM EST

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

And how exactly do you get to that take away message ?

The 2nd part of his position (on his website) clearly says that Iran must agree to all of our most far reaching demands before we begin negotiations !!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:02:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (2.00 / 1)

It most definitely does not.

The website quote says Senator Obama supports "direct presidential diplomacy  with Iran  without preconditions."

It goes on to say that "Obama would offer the Iranian regime a choice" and lays out the kind of incentives that Senator Obama would use in those instances of presidential diplomacy.  Nowhere does it say that those conditions must be met before any negotiations take place.


by WellstoneDem on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:05:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

So, according to your understanding, Sen. Obama is guaranteeing to meet and negotiate with Iran's President...after appropriate preparations.  

In these preparations, there will be no preconditions (i.e., Iran does not have to give up Uranium, Hamas, or anything else during these preparations), and the preparations will be strictly about layign the groundwork (where do we meet, what is the agenda, what do we have for dinner afterwards etc.)

During the direct presidential diplomacy, Sen. Obama would offer Iran a choice...give up the nukes, and Hamas...or else !!

Is that how you see it ?


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 11:12:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (2.00 / 3)

The quote you provide answers your question:

"Preparation is not a precondition it is absolutely necessary to the success of any diplomatic effort. You need to build an agenda and open lines of communication, just as we would do with any country, But Barack Obama believes we must be willing to lead, just like Kennedy did, and just like Reagan did. And that's what he will do as president."

Preconditions involve laying out a number of things a country must do before any meeting occurs.  Senator Obama has said he would meet without preconditions.  Preparation involves opening lines of communication and agreeing upon an agenda for the meeting.  This is something Senator Obama has said is necessary.

So even though you claim all of the quotes are different.  They are actually consistent in saying that a President Obama would meet with leaders without preconditions but would obviously engage in the kinds of preparation that takes place before any presidential meeting.


by WellstoneDem on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:02:16 PM EST

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

So does that mean that he is promising to sit down with the Iranian president ?

"Preparations" (when used in the normal sense) do not involve any risk ~ two sides can always agree on a time and a date to meet, and on an agenda.

Preparations, the way you define it (a number of things a country must do before any meeting occurs) is no different than a precondition!!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:09:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

How is that the way I define it?

I said, "Preparation involves opening lines of communication and agreeing upon an agenda for the meeting"

Simply setting an agenda is not "a number of things a country must do before any meeting occurs"


by WellstoneDem on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:25:51 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

Sorry, I misread your comment!!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 11:16:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (2.00 / 4)

Let me try to explain this as simply as possible.

Pretend there is a country trying to reprocess nuclear material and we want to give up their nuclear program.

GOAL: get them to stop processing nuclear material.

SMART (Preparations): Tell the country you want to meet to discuss their nuclear program and that your goal for the negotiation is that they stop processing nuclear materials.

DUMB (Preconditions same as goals): Demand they stop processing nuclear materials or you won't begin negotiations aimed at getting them to stop processing nuclear materials.

The preconditions can't be the same as the goal or you have no starting point for dialog.  This isn't rocket science.



Lost rate and rec for issuing a '1' to a trollish comment. The troll, not so much.

by map on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:28:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

the smart part is for your government officials /cabinet .

the " dumb " part is for the president.

Obama seems to hold the position that the " smart " part is for the president .

Your cabinet can go ahead and meet with without pre conditions but the president himself must have pre conditions before he himself meets with these dictators .

That is the reason you have a cabinet.

Obama himself says Iran would face further isolation if they don't do some things he spelt out , now I don't know how he plans to Isolate Tehran if Ahmadinejad is hoping in and out of the whitehouse.

It is just not a serious position.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:37:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (2.00 / 2)

Sounds like we are basically on the same page then.  

The only difference is that you feel the President shouldn't get personally involved, and I think that a President can take an active role in diplomacy.  It certainly worked for JFK, Nixon, Reagan, and Clinton.

And I'd also point out that Bush not only refused to get personally involved, he more often than not, killed negotiations at every level.  Truly the worst president we've ever had.



Lost rate and rec for issuing a '1' to a trollish comment. The troll, not so much.

by map on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:47:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

I agree Bush has deviated from the normal bi - partisan foreign policy we have had for centuries , now it seems as a reaction to that Obama is proposing something equally radical.

Most people are just arguing for equilibrum and going back to the way bi partisan president's have run foreign policy skipping Bush .

Obama got stuck at that debate because Hillary Clinton put him in a spot he didn't intend to be , most people forget the genesis of the position in which Obama finds himself now.

He was pounded for days by the Clinton camp and finally realised he could work it into his new politics thing in the primary electorate.

There are quite a few statements Obama has made that I can link you to that shows he doesn't really believe in the position he was pushed into.

I really don't know how many foreign policy analysts from all sides of the spectrum would agree that the president himself should meet with these dictators without preconditions even Bill Richardson disagreed with it in an interview on Fox today.

I don't believe Obama would continue to hold that position , he is going to parse his way through it.

Like the flag pin , some things are just no brainers.


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:56:32 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (2.00 / 1)

"Ya didn't answer the question.  Why is it irresponsible for the president to meet these people?"

Seems you still haven't answered that question.


"In the primary you should vote with your heart, but in the general, you should vote with your head" Hillary's husband
by venician on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:50:35 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

Let me explain this as simply as I can...

I do not believe your interpretation (which I admit,   would be a good thing) is indeed what is Sen. Obama's policy.

Why is he insisting on conditions, but not preconditions, for instance.

What is a condition that is not a precondition ?


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 11:13:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (none / 0)

World history is littered with incidences where negotiations did not pan out and meetings were never able to take place. Sometimes resulting in increased hostilities and even war. Risk is most certainly involved.


www.thingsyoungerthanmccain.com
by LandStander on Wed May 21, 2008 at 10:22:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Bush, worst.president.ever. (2.00 / 3)

People are confusing preparations with pre-conditions.  

For Bush / McCain, they won't negotiate until the other side meets pre-conditions that amount to all the items being negotiated. Idiots.  How do you get your demands met if you won't open a dialog until all your demands are met?

Obama has been absolutely consistent and wants to bring our diplomacy back to what it used to be, before Bush, the worst president in history, came along.



Lost rate and rec for issuing a '1' to a trollish comment. The troll, not so much.

by map on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:10:09 PM EST

Re: Bush, worst.president.ever. (none / 0)

I think the confusion is intentional and done in bad faith, for a myriad of reasons.  Lately, lots of random anti-obama diaries dissecting and misrepresenting his quotations, as if it were done in a lab somewhere, yet barely any pro-hillary diaries, hmmm


Democrat for the democratic nominee
by KLRinLA on Wed May 21, 2008 at 09:33:09 PM EST
[ Parent ]

btw. Do you still support Hillary Gax Tax Cut? (none / 0)

Way to go out on the limb.  

I sure glad Hillary didn't back down and kept talking bout the issue?

I imagine the bill will signed into law by memorial day.


"McSame: He's Constipated and Ready to GO!
by Al Rodgers on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:11:17 PM EST

I have an idea (none / 0)

let us OBLITERATE THEM


_____________
changiness
by lizardbox on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:23:58 PM EST

How's.. (none / 0)

..the Bush/McCain policy regarding Iran worked out?...Letsee Iran is more dangerous than it was before we invaded Iraq, Al Qaida has been given a free pass in Afghanistan and Pakistan, Iran is aiding in the killing of our US soldiers, the Middle East is as unstable as it's ever been....Yeah I can see why you want to continue Bush's foreign policy tactics, they,ve worked so well.


Obama supporter who is damn glad Hillary Clinton is a Democrat!!
by hootie4170 on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:25:13 PM EST

Re: How's.. (none / 0)

And I can see why you want to change the topic...


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 10:29:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama and "without preconditions" (2.00 / 1)

Interesting thought piece. Great work as always. Rec'ed. I can see from some of the responses here that you are the perceived problem not Obama's foreign policy stance.  


by grlpatriot on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:28:32 PM EST

Re: Obama and "without preconditions" (2.00 / 1)

Oh hush.  There were plenty of substantive responses to the diarist showing that he was wrong on the facts.



Lost rate and rec for issuing a '1' to a trollish comment. The troll, not so much.

by map on Wed May 21, 2008 at 08:36:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Oh really ? (none / 0)

Oh really ?

Which facts do I have wrong... all I have said are direct quotes from Sen. Obama, or his website, or from his senior policy people.


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 11:18:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (2.00 / 1)

Ultimately, this whole debate is missing the mark IMO in that it's focusing on something that is more symbolic than anything else. The world isn't going to end if Obama sits down for a photo op with a world leader our country disagrees with, nor will it solve all our problems in one fell swoop.

What this is really about is a more general sense of whether we take a more combative tone, or a more reasonable tone, with countries that we disagree with. Do we take a completely hawkish tone and demand that countries accede to every last one of our demands before we sit down to the table with them? That seems like a stupid position, and that's why even the Bush administration has pretty much abandoned it and has reluctantly pursued negotiations with North Korea.


by animated on Wed May 21, 2008 at 09:04:34 PM EST

It's new, it's fresh! (none / 0)


by activatedbybush on Wed May 21, 2008 at 09:09:39 PM EST

Preparations happen with Allies, even.... (none / 0)

I'm going to explain this slowly.  Meetings between Heads of States are extremely important things in foreign policy.  From time in memoriam, when heads of state met preparations (discussions on what the terms of the meeting will be, where it will be, when and so on) occurred.  This happends with allies.  Do you think that meetings between the President and the Queen are just thrown together?  There are years of preparation and discussions before them.

Iran and other states listed have had no official contacts in decades.  This would require even further preparation.  You need to discuss whether the nation in question wishes to exchange ambassadors.  If that's not done, it will slow up any discussion of a meeting between the heads of state.

There is a dance done in foreign policy (that has been forgotten under the Bush administration).  And one of the cardinal rules is that you don't demand what you wish to negotiate over.  We want a lot of things from Iran, they want stuff from us.  We can discuss whether we can reach a mutually agreeable settlement, but we won't get anywhere if we follow Bush's course and demand what we wish to negotiate.  Those are the famous "preconditions."

Is that clear?


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Wed May 21, 2008 at 09:16:46 PM EST

Re: Preparations happen with Allies, even.... (none / 0)

I am going to explain this even more slowly...

Everyone knows that meeting between heads of states requires some preparation (I said so in my diary...which you have probably not bothered to read).  My question is whether Sen. Obama is insisting on some preconditions (Iran must give up this this and this) before he initiates negotiations, even though he insists on calling it negotiations without preconditions !!

Is that clear ?


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 10:28:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

No... (none / 0)

He's describing the American position and what America would be willing to do to prevent an Iranian nuclear weapon.


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Thu May 22, 2008 at 12:20:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

You are so smart... (none / 0)

Perhaps you can tell me the difference between a condition and a pre-condition ?


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Thu May 22, 2008 at 12:31:48 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Is that really so hard to figure out... (none / 0)

A pre-condition is something that is necessary prior to a negotiation taking place.  A condition is something you insist on during a negotiation, but is malleable in the end depending on the condition.  I can't believe that it is all that complicated.


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Fri May 23, 2008 at 02:30:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Is it that simple for you ? (none / 0)

A malleable condition is not a condition... it is an oxymoron!!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Fri May 23, 2008 at 04:27:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You can't really be this obtuse, could you? (none / 0)

We want certain things from Iran (certain conditions).  They want stuff from us.  A negotiation is where each side puts up what it wants and try to find a mutually beneficial agreement.

For example, the U.S. has currently a pre-condition that all nuclear materials be reviewed by an IAEA inspector.  This must occur prior to any negotiations between us and Iran.  If there is a change in the administration from Rep to Dem, you may see this change from a pre-condition to a condition under discussion.  But a condition of the U.S. diplomatic team does not have to be iron-clad.  We may be willing to have the Russians inspect the nuclear materials rather than an IAEA inspector.  We know the Russians are wholeheartedly against an Iranian Bomb.  We also know that the Iranians are more comfortable with the Russians, since the Russians are giving them their nuclear materials.

Thus you have a malleable condition.  You really have no background in diplomacy or diplomatic history, do you?  If that is the case, perhaps you should stop talking about things that you have no background in.  I'm not saying this to censor you, but you are making yourself look like a fool with these comments.


John McCain wants you to be poor!
by nklein on Fri May 23, 2008 at 06:29:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

You can't really be this obtuse, could you? (none / 0)

The condition (or pre-condition) that all nuclear materials be reviewed by an IAEA inspector is acceptable to Iran.  Therefore, it is not a pre-condition, or a condition at all !!

Iran's beef is not with being inspected, but with their perceived right to enrichment technology!!

Could you go back and get your facts straight.  That way, you may (may ~ given your performance so far, I think it will take a lot more than that!) improve the odds of not looking like a total fool!!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Fri May 23, 2008 at 06:54:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: (none / 0)

I get the impression that this diary is simply arguing in circles in order to prove a point that isn't there.

When I hear the word "precondition," I think of a hard ultimatum to which the other party must accede before diplomacy begins.  I.e., saying that Iran would have to give up its nuclear power efforts before diplomacy could even begin.  "Preparation," on the other hand, means to me the background work that would be necessary to make such talks productive.  I.e., brushing up on culture, customs, Iran's internal politics, the country's true power brokers, how to convey ideas for maximum effect, etc.  Therefore, what I believe that Obama is saying is that he would not present such countries with a list of demands before entering into diplomacy with them.

Note that simply engaging in diplomacy does not mean that there would be a substantive change in U.S. foreign policy.  All he's saying is that he would be more willing to talk with such countries than Bush and McCain.  


by rfahey22 on Wed May 21, 2008 at 09:47:21 PM EST

Re: (none / 0)

If your interpretation is correct, then why is Sen. Obama so drastically qualifying his pledge.

Everyone knows that a summit requires some preparation...


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 10:25:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: (none / 0)

Actually, I'm not sure that that's clear to the average voter.  McCain's critiques seem to be premised on the assumption that Obama would just hop on a plane the day after the inauguration and meet with any number of "evil" people.  I mean, nobody bothers pointing out that Ahmadinejad has no real power in Iran because he's a useful demagogue and few American citizens know anything about Iran, so the terms of this debate have to be significantly dumbed down.


by rfahey22 on Wed May 21, 2008 at 10:33:59 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: (none / 0)

Oh, I am pretty sure the average voter is not as dumb as you make them out to be.

I could ask many more questions (which the average voter will..)!!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 11:21:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: (none / 0)

I don't think the average voter understands foreign policy. Our policy towards Iran has serious implications for our relations with Russia, China, Europe - not to mention the Middle East. It is beyond the scope of the average voter to understand the interplay between our relations with Iran vis a vis other nations, and the relations of other nations amongst each other vis a vis our Iran policy.

The key here should be to present a coherent and sensible foreign policy, in broad strokes, that the general public can understand and appreciate. The average voter certainly understands "with us or against us", and many have clung to it as the only possible response to a hostile world. It is our duty, as progressives, to help put forth a comprehensible alternative. Obama is trying to do so, though you are right to point out that he needs some serious fine tuning.


www.thingsyoungerthanmccain.com
by LandStander on Thu May 22, 2008 at 12:08:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I do not think his foreign policy proposal... (none / 0)

is morally defensible.

I do not think Sen. Clinton's foreign policy proposals are morally defensible.  And I do not think Sen. McCains' foreign policy proposals are morally defensible.

But let us stick to Sen. Obama's proposal on Iran:

Why is it morally defensible to demand that Iran give up it's enrichment technology ?

But let us forget the morally defensible aspect, and stick to a broad stroke for a coherent sensible policy.

What exactly, is Sen. Obama's broad stroke:  that he will talk without preconditions ?  But that is a meaningless statement, even if he means it.

Talking without preconditions is pointless unless you are willing to give up something in exchange for something that you want in return... what is Sen. Obama willing to give up (this question is somewhat related to my diary, but one that I did not directly raise), and what does he want in return.  His description (the one on his website) is meaningless because it parrots current policy (Iran must give us all that we want, and in exchange, we will give them a few tidbits).

So, what exactly, is his broad stroke !!


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Thu May 22, 2008 at 12:38:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Is this the question, though? (none / 0)

I think we might want to talk about policy first, post bush era, before we decide to sit down with anyone, and then what "conditions, preconditions, or lack thereof" are determined....


by 4justice on Wed May 21, 2008 at 10:32:42 PM EST

Re: Is this the question, though? (none / 0)

I think what you are asking is...

what exactly is Sen. Obama prepared to give to Iran, in exchange for the things that he wants from Iran ?

That is an important question... one that I did not touch, but one that should be asked as well!1


If you follow history with a long enough arc, things always get better, and the truth always prevails...Gandhi
by SevenStrings on Wed May 21, 2008 at 11:03:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Negotiations without preconditions... or post (2.00 / 1)

I agree that a lot of this has been somewhat confusing and hasn't come out in a very cogent fashion.

I DO support engaging our so-called "enemies."  Our ridiculous Iran policy has been to pressure EUROPE to engage Iran.  How stupid is that? It's like we're some kid in junior high, having his friend talk to girls for him.

Obama's plan has come off, in its earliest iteration, as almost sit downs on a whim.  I don't think this is what he intended, and that debate answer probably didn't come off as intended.  What we need to do is to set up a very serious agenda, perhaps involving other countries in the talks.  But clearly our lack of engagement and policy of saber rattling with no real diplomacy has failed (except in boosting oil profits).  

Now, our Cuba policy isn't even CLOSE to the same situation.  Unlike Iran, where a nuclear program is the issue, our Cuba policy is nothing more than pandering for a key demographic in a swing state.    The belief that we can change Cuba by ignoring them and broadcasting anti-Castro radio is just silly.  The rest of the world recognizes Cuba.  Let's stop pretending that they're all wrong, and get some work done.  


No way. No how. No McCain.
by freedom78 on Wed May 21, 2008 at 10:44:12 PM EST


You are not logged in.

In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.

If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.