First of all, let's get one thing straight:
Hillary Clinton does NOT have the lead in the popular vote. Following last night's primaries, if you use the estimates from the four caucuses (Iowa, Nevada, Maine, Washington) that don't release official numbers, Obama leads by 559K. If you leave out those four caucuses, it's still 449K.
Oh, but you wanna count Florida and Michigan? OK. If you add Florida, Obama still leads by 264K. Only... ONLY if you include BOTH Florida and Michigan, and give Obama ZERO votes from Michigan does Hillary take the lead... by between 63K and 173K, depending on if you include the four caucus states or not.
"But we MUST count Florida and Michigan!" you yell, "And we MUST count them the way the original votes were cast!"
Just one problem with that...
Hillary Clinton and her campaign didn't WANT those states to count!
(Thanks to JLFinch over at DKos for some of this info; his diary is here.)
On Aug. 25, when the DNC's rules panel declared Florida's primary date out of order, it agreed by a near-unanimous majority to exceed the 50 percent penalty called for under party rules. Instead, the group stripped Florida of all 210 delegates to underscore its displeasure with Florida's defiance and to discourage other states from following suit. Clinton held tremendous potential leverage over this decision, and not only because she was then widely judged the likely nominee. Of the committee's 30 members, a near-majority of 12 were Clinton supporters. All of them -- most notably strategist Harold Ickes -- voted for Florida's full disenfranchisement. (The only dissenting vote was cast by a Tallahassee, Fla., city commissioner who supported Obama.)
Not only that, but Hillary (and most other candidates) signed a pledge re. Michigan and Florida:
9/1/2007Clinton Campaign Statement on the Four State Pledge
The following is a statement by Clinton Campaign Manager Patti Solis Doyle.
"We believe Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina play a unique and special role in the nominating process. And we believe the DNC's rules and its calendar provide the necessary structure to respect and honor that role. Thus, we will be signing the pledge to adhere to the DNC approved nominating calendar."
Hmmm... wonder what that pledge said. Here's the relevant part:
THEREFORE, I (Hillary Clinton), Democratic Candidate for President, pledge
I shall not campaign or participate in any state which schedules a presidential
election primary or caucus before Feb. 5, 2008, except for the states of Iowa,
Nevada, New Hampshire and South Carolina, as "campaigning" is defined by
rules and regulations of the DNC.
And in case anyone had any doubt that Hillary was serious, here's a little something she had to say about Michigan (in October of last year):
"It's clear this election they are having is not going to count for anything."
But now, suddenly Hillary is all concerned about "disenfranchising" voters in these states. Never mind the fact that millions of people did NOT come out and vote, since they were told it wouldn't count. And I wonder.... you think, if it was Hillary with the lead in popular votes and delegates right now... you think she'd STILL be calling for the votes to count? "I know this will help Barack and not me, but it's important that all the votes are counted." Does anyone really, honestly believe she'd be saying that?
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